12
Feb
2016

England » Premier League » Everton - West Brom 13.02.16

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 #EVEWBA


Let’s have a look at the Everton - West Brom game.


Last five matches between these two opponents have produced 2-2-1 (H-D-A) in the final outcome. Last two meetings ended in 0-0 draws.


The odds’ class of this encounter is 0,24. Since 25/09/15 (dd-mm-yy) this class has had 19 appearances, counting 11-6-2 (H-D-A).


Value odds for the home win based on the above numbers should be 1,73. The average odds in offer around the net is something about 1,50 which is far too low.


Everton has featured in this 0,24 odds’ class as the hosts four times having produced two home wins and two draws. Three of these four matches gave Under 2,5 goals in total. Three of these games saw both teams scoring. All four games gave a total of 2-3 goals.


The class in general has produced 14 times Under 2,5 goals. In addition 12 times 2-3 goals total


Concluding it seems a little bit tricky to risk full stake on the home win alone. It would be wise to invest in the Goals’ market trends of 2-3 goals in total or Under 2,5



Odds’ class update:


The odds’ class is updated as the screen below indicates.
 


The new odds class is now 0,22 instead of 0,24

Since 18/09/10 (dd/mm/yy) the class has had 34 appearances. The Full Time result reads 23-7-4. This indicates some improvement regarding Home win probability. Value odds should be anything greater than 1,48. Average odds being offered is 1,51.

In the Goals’ market the Over 2,5 goals has appeared 21 times with value odds anything greater than 1,62. The average odds in offer is a chunky 1,94 as below image shows.


Everton have also featured 4 times as hosts in 0,22 class having produced 2-1-1 (H-D-A) in the final outcome. Over 2,5 goals and Both teams to score have had 3 appearances each.

Concluding based on the class update we should alter our picks. We could go for the Over 2,5 or we could also stick (for some balance) with 2-3 goals in total. In addition Both teams to score could be our pick too.
 


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