Hello to all Premier League fans out there.

Todays’ big match has to be Liverpool against Tottenham. Hosts need 3 points to stay 6 points clear from Manchester City.

So let's get to work.

Last 4 meetings between these 2 have produced 2 home wins and 2 draws.

On 3 of them, both teams have scored and 2 times we had over 2,5 goals in total.

Liverpool averaged 1,75 and Tottenham 1,00 goals on those past 4 meetings.

About odds classes now, odds have been shortening for Liverpool.

From 0,71 on 02/04/2016 (1-1 final score) to 0,26 31/03/2019 (2-1 final score).

For today’s class last night I had a class of 0,26 which have been a class with heavey trend on home win with 10 out of 12 appearances.

But as of 27/10/2019 12:31 (GMT+2), the class has changed to 0,22

Class 0,22 has had 20 appearances from 26/09/2015 till now and here are the stats:

Full-time results:10-6-4 (H-D-A)

2,5 goals line: 10-10 (Over-Under)

Both teams to score: 12/20

In addition, home teams average 2,1 and away teams 0,9 goals for.

If we implement these averages in POISSON then we get following probabilities:

Liverpool has featured on 3 of these 20 cases winning 2, losing 1 all 3 games over 2,5 goals in total.

Following the top correct scores based on POISSON with a total coverage of 69.23% of all possible scores analyzed.

The 20 matches on this class have produced 13 different correct scores so we see a big variation. Most popular (appearances in brackets) have been:

1-1 (5)

0-1, 2-0, 3-1 (2)

So enough concerning theory let’s get to real business and by real business, I mean staking plan.

I will use all the above data and will try to find maximum returns on the maximum cover of my units.

I shall begin with Tottenham winning margin by 1 goal. It will be a real upset if visitors get away with a 2 goals margin victory. I don’t claim it’s not possible in real life, we just have to risk to have some profit margin.

Now for the draw, we have to leave 0-0 outside.

So 1-1, 2-2 are on board.

The 1 goal margin should be used for Liverpool as well, plus 2 goals margin and then we see if we can hunt something like 3-0 on the other stretching end.

Picks and odds following:

So our Staking Calculator looks like this:

So everybody lets have some fun and enjoy the game. Good luck to those betting on it too.

See you