Ok first things first

Last 3 meetings between them were priced with home side to be considered as the clear favorites.

The odds classes have been 0.26, 0.27 and 0.35 and guess what…

One (1) home win, no draw and two (2) away wins, all 3 under 2.5 goals.

For tonight’s game odds class is around 1.05 which means home odds are almost the same with away odds. So there is no clear favorite for the public.

Class 1.05 has no records at all in my dataset, so this means this is the first time it appears.

So I opened up the range a little bit and went for 1.04-1.06

I got 57 records!!! That’s a huge sample for our way of doing things.

17-18-22 for 1-X-2 respectively and 31-26 Over-Under 2.5

Now 72% of the games have been either draws or wins with 1 goal margin

Goals averages are 1.19 for home sides and 1.37 for away. Pretty close.

In the last 5 records home teams averaged 1.60 goals and away 1.20.

Last five averages of fives have been 1.44 and 1.00 for home and away respectively.

There is a goal expectancy for the home side. The indicator shows 1.2 goals to be expected if the new average for the last 5 matches should equal the 1.44 (which is the average of the last 5 averages of fives). The recent results show an uptrend for the home sides but without being extreme. The general average of averages of fives is 1.18 right now. The last 5 averages is higher than this 1.18 (at 1.44).

On the other side the goal expectancy for the away teams is zero (0) goals. The general average of each 5 games average is 1.37, while the last 5 averages averaged just 1.00 telling us about a slight down trend. Again this downtrend is not extreme.

This could well be a match where both teams score and also a close one. If we would like and we choose to stick to this approach we should utilize the basic stats we talked about the best way possible

So we could go with draws of 1-1, 2-2.

Then we could go for 1 goal margin victories plus a 2 goal margin victory for the home side

Based on odds as we could bet on at around 21:15 the selections showed in the print screen cost 0.8 units for 1 unit returned, which equals to 25% of net profit based on our cost (0.2 units profit from 0.8 units cost).